Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.263886 0.296045 0.332162 0.376048 0.428366 0.489290 0.566425
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.209893 0.250830 0.301161 0.368839 0.459468 0.579742 0.757102
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.179847 0.224628 0.283367 0.368587 0.493708 0.679081 0.993097
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.157473 0.203091 0.265860 0.362380 0.514897 0.762759 1.238437
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.143778 0.190614 0.257805 0.366670 0.550869 0.878463 1.594323
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.128359 0.173429 0.239989 0.351917 0.551033 0.930362 1.851157
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.115233 0.158028 0.222696 0.334748 0.542490 0.962084 2.081039
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.105154 0.146144 0.209381 0.322006 0.539035 1.002765 2.362553
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.102795 0.145772 0.214205 0.341382 0.601974 1.212932 3.330341
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.103195 0.149683 0.226403 0.376209 0.706646 1.577777 5.391107
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.100992 0.149084 0.230721 0.396595 0.785618 1.922514 8.188521
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.097425 0.145843 0.229912 0.406376 0.842129 2.236685 11.887217
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.091360 0.138199 0.220921 0.398916 0.856492 2.433040 15.836884
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.084481 0.128713 0.207754 0.380800 0.838543 2.503311 19.201900
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.080123 0.123328 0.201841 0.378096 0.864357 2.784640 28.285140
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.075726 0.117533 0.194557 0.371093 0.875711 3.017508 40.707707
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.072941 0.114423 0.192212 0.375384 0.924265 3.499045 75.714641
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.068453 0.107891 0.182434 0.360116 0.904184 3.580718 101.262846
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.064094 0.101353 0.172164 0.342390 0.871630 3.565727 124.997408
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.060507 0.096057 0.164066 0.329246 0.852402 3.630822 171.587674
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060205 0.096871 0.168623 0.349233 0.960221 4.761152 1193.674517
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.061097 0.100004 0.178394 0.385192 1.150557 7.188745 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.060627 0.100461 0.182424 0.406260 1.293805 9.870675 NaN